Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.277211 0.327356 0.387265 0.465088 0.564967 0.690908 0.865140
2025-01-19 0.202371 0.261965 0.342847 0.464539 0.650407 0.937522 1.446559
2025-01-26 0.164016 0.226710 0.320175 0.477939 0.756893 1.276030 2.464487
2025-02-02 0.140757 0.204712 0.307439 0.498289 0.882497 1.737646 4.319974
2025-02-09 0.123311 0.186645 0.294636 0.511966 1.002379 2.296062 7.564211
2025-02-16 0.110706 0.173367 0.285881 0.529149 1.140353 3.055892 14.126904
2025-02-23 0.100002 0.161065 0.275569 0.538956 1.268119 3.970128 27.301680
2025-03-02 0.090848 0.149825 0.264581 0.543251 1.386043 5.066014 56.184994
2025-03-09 0.082651 0.138999 0.252077 0.539692 1.480429 6.280830 123.336256
2025-03-16 0.075050 0.128195 0.237522 0.526334 1.535567 7.460866 284.188389
2025-03-23 0.070896 0.123553 0.235425 0.546201 1.735409 10.327843 1693.281503
2025-03-30 0.065225 0.115100 0.223231 0.533437 1.793933 12.356630 13429.763934
2025-04-06 0.061387 0.110075 0.218424 0.542658 1.971592 16.842577 NaN
2025-04-13 0.057109 0.103641 0.209259 0.535746 2.070414 21.334904 NaN
2025-04-20 0.054336 0.100107 0.206629 0.549954 2.308116 31.353019 NaN
2025-04-27 0.052238 0.097788 0.206658 0.573831 2.645245 51.384056 NaN
2025-05-04 0.050001 0.094891 0.204688 0.590117 2.966836 84.548485 NaN
2025-05-11 0.048106 0.092553 0.203822 0.610800 3.370412 156.226429 NaN
2025-05-18 0.046065 0.089652 0.200938 0.622638 3.735905 294.138860 NaN
2025-05-25 0.043994 0.086467 0.196763 0.627830 4.064648 577.447294 NaN
2025-06-01 0.041830 0.082857 0.190844 0.623520 4.300575 1123.292375 NaN
2025-06-08 0.039533 0.078728 0.182855 0.607369 4.383177 1949.311770 NaN
2025-06-15 0.038452 0.077471 0.183259 0.631399 5.053935 13410.541949 NaN